[tab: Storms]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:21:14 +0000: SPC MD 2071 - SPC Forecast Products
MD 2071 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR COASTAL SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 2071 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Areas affected...coastal southern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161711Z - 162015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...While the risk for a brief tornado may not be negligible across the southern North Carolina coastal plain, this potential still appears low. It is possible that it may not increase appreciably either, but trends are being closely monitored. DISCUSSION...The surface cyclone center appears to be slowly approaching coastal areas to the west/west-northwest of Myrtle Beach SC. Forcing for ascent aided by strongest low-level convergence and warm advection has been focused to its north, spreading inland near/south through southwest of Wilmington. This has been contributing to the most vigorous thunderstorm development, supported by inflow of tropically moist boundary-layer air within a narrow offshore plume wrapping around the periphery of the cyclone. Low-level hodographs across coastal southern North Carolina remain sizable and clockwise curved, supporting at least a couple of occasionally intensifying supercell structures over the past hour or two. However, inland of immediate coastal areas, the convection and embedded mesocyclones probably have been based above at least a residual shallow stable surface-based layer, based on surface observations and Rapid Refresh forecast soundings. Beneath a subsident mid-level dry slot wrapping around the southern periphery of the cyclone, model output suggests that low-level warming within a small inland advecting wedge may contribute to modest boundary-layer destabilization through mid to late afternoon, as the cyclone slowly begins to migrate inland. However, with strongest flow around 850 mb forecast to shift into the Carolina Piedmont, model forecast soundings generally indicate that this may coincide with shrinking and less clockwise curved low-level hodographs. Coupled with potentially increasing mid-level inhibition, the risk for convection capable of producing tornadoes remains uncertain. ..Kerr/Gleason.. 09/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM... LAT...LON 33957840 34277866 34587686 34207681 33397770 33657804 33957840Read more - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:21:14 +0000: SPC MD 2072 - SPC Forecast Products
MD 2072 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
Mesoscale Discussion 2072 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Areas affected...the Four Corners Region Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161834Z - 162030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Some severe gusts and perhaps some severe hail are possible this afternoon near the Four Corners Region. A watch is not anticipated at this time, however trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed near the Mogollon Rim over northeastern Arizona this afternoon. These storms are on the southeastern periphery of an expansive upper-level closed low with a seasonably strong mid-level jet (40-50 kts of 500 mb flow). This results in 30-40 kts of effective bulk shear across the region. Additionally, strong heating has warmed temperatures into the mid 70s to near 80 F, resulting in steep low-level lapse rates (8-9 C/km) and 1000+ J/kg of DCAPE per mesoanalysis. The deep-layer shear induced by the upper-level trough is expected to result in multicell clusters of storms with severe gusts being the primary threat. However given the steep lapse rates, straight hodographs, and low freezing levels, some marginally severe hail may occur as well. Given the expected sparse coverage of both of these, a watch is not anticipated. With time, expect clusters to move to the northeast. Some residual cloud cover over the San Juan Mountains is resulting in lingering stable air, so this may limit the longevity of these storms. ..Supinie/Gleason.. 09/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABQ...GJT...FGZ...SLC... LAT...LON 35171077 35791115 37151074 39171018 39540976 39810923 39770877 39590840 39060778 37830774 36580801 35890806 35260856 35030893 34720972 34831031 35171077Read more - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:21:14 +0000: SPC MD 2073 - SPC Forecast Products
MD 2073 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NEVADA...NORTHWESTERN UTAH...AND FAR SOUTHERN IDAHO
Mesoscale Discussion 2073 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Areas affected...portions of northeastern Nevada...northwestern Utah...and far southern Idaho Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161919Z - 162115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A few severe gusts are possible across portions of northeastern Nevada, northwestern Utah, and far southern Idaho this afternoon. A watch is not currently anticipated. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed across portions of northeastern Nevada to the east of an expansive upper-level closed low centered over central California. Despite seasonably strong mid-level flow across the region (40-50 kts of 500 mb flow), deep-layer shear is not particularly impressive, with approximately 30 kts of effective bulk shear. Additionally, some lingering cloud cover has resulted in slow surface destabilization across portions of the region. In spite of this, however, there are some areas of 9 C/km or greater low-level lapse rates, per mesoanalysis and short-term RAP forecast soundings. This may result in a threat for severe wind gusts across the region this afternoon. Some uncertainty exists with respect to the northward extend of the threat due to the aforementioned cloud cover across portions of southern Idaho and northwestern Utah. Regardless, some multicell clustering is expected with time as storms move to the north-northeast. ..Supinie/Gleason.. 09/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...VEF...BOI...LKN... LAT...LON 38551378 38301443 38321543 38811623 39661675 41011665 41661624 42111581 42331501 42041387 41491341 40201319 38951345 38551378Read more - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:21:10 +0000: SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Sep 16 19:22:01 UTC 2024 - SPC Forecast Products
No watches are valid as of Mon Sep 16 19:22:01 UTC 2024. - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:17:17 +0000: SPC Sep 16, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook - SPC Forecast Products
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Valid 181200Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday. ...Great Plains... Forecast guidance at 12z remains similar to previous cycles at Day 3/Wed. The cyclone over eastern MT will become stacked through the period and only progress modestly northeast toward ND and southern SK/MB by 12z Thursday. Enhanced southwesterly mid/upper flow ahead of this feature will overspread the northern/central Plains, while southerly low-level flow allows 60s F dewpoints to remain in place from the southern Plains to the MO and Red River (north) Valleys. Convection may be ongoing across parts of the mid-MO Valley vicinity Wednesday morning, with areas of cloud debris expected across the broader Plains. This will result in some uncertainty in airmass recovery/destabilization during the afternoon. While outflow boundaries and pockets of stronger heating may focus mesoscale areas of thunderstorm potential during peak heating through early evening from the eastern Dakotas/MN south/southwest into the TX Panhandle, severe potential is uncertain. Large-scale ascent will remain nebulous across much of the Plains, and midlevel lapse rates will be modest due to relatively warm temperatures aloft. Vertical shear could support some organized/severe risk from eastern SD/NE into KS, but uncertainty and the conditional nature of potential risk precludes low severe probabilities at this time. ..Leitman.. 09/16/2024
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[tab:Hurricanes]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:47:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eight, near the coast of the Carolinas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:29:27 +0000: NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:17:06 +0000: CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Mon Sep 16 2024
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster JVC/Tsamous
NNNN
[tab:Tsunamis]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 01:50:59 +0000: 125 miles SE of Sandspit, Haida Gwaii - Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
Category: Information
Bulletin Issue Time: 2024.09.16 01:50:59 UTC
Preliminary Magnitude: 5.0(Ml)
Lat/Lon: 51.546 / -130.824
Affected Region: 125 miles SE of Sandspit, Haida Gwaii
Note: * There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
Definition: An information statement indicates that an earthquake has occurred, but does not pose a tsunami threat, or that a tsunami warning, advisory, or watch has been issued for another section of the ocean. View bulletin
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[tab:NASA]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:02:21 +0000: Engineer Zaida Hernandez - NASA
“I would say family and part of that ‘first-gen experience’ [shaped me]. Being born in the U.S. gave me a lot of opportunities that my family and parents were robbed of because of situations in their home country. It shaped me to be a hard worker and to aspire to large things because not only was it […] - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:01:23 +0000: Reaching New Heights to Unravel Deep Martian History! - NASA
The Perseverance rover is reaching new heights as it ascends the rim of Jezero crater (over 300 meters in elevation higher than the original landing site)! The rover is now enroute to its first campaign science stop Dox Castle (image in the far ground) a region of interest for its potential to host ancient Mars’ […] - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:52:40 +0000: Station Science Top News: September 13, 2024 - NASA
JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency) researchers examined the structures of four titanium-based compounds solidified in levitators in microgravity and on the ground and found that the internal microstructures were generally similar. These results could support development of new materials for use in space manufacturing. To produce glass or metal alloys on Earth, raw materials are placed into a […] - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:36:35 +0000: Ottawa’s Fall Rhapsody - NASA
An astronaut aboard the International Space Station captured this view of peak fall foliage around Ottawa, Canada on Oct. 14, 2020. Sugar maple leaves turn orange-red, and hickories turn golden-bronze during autumn, regionally known as “the Fall Rhapsody.” Fall color reaches its peak when air temperatures drop and shortened daylight triggers plants to slow and stop […] - Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:05:39 +0000: Going Back-to-School with NASA Data - NASA
As students head back to school, teachers have a new tool that brings NASA satellite data down to their earthly classrooms. For over 50 years of observing Earth, NASA’s satellites have collected petabytes of global science data (that’s millions and millions of gigabytes) – with terabytes more coming in by the day. Since 2004, the My […]
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