{"id":349,"date":"2011-08-22T18:01:18","date_gmt":"2011-08-22T18:01:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/?page_id=349"},"modified":"2011-09-09T21:05:51","modified_gmt":"2011-09-09T21:05:51","slug":"current-events","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/disaster-preparedness\/current-events","title":{"rendered":"Current Events"},"content":{"rendered":"
[tab: Storms]
\n\nMesoscale Discussion 2071\nNWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n1211 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024\n\nAreas affected...coastal southern North Carolina\n\nConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely \n\nValid 161711Z - 162015Z\n\nProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percent\n\nSUMMARY...While the risk for a brief tornado may not be negligible\nacross the southern North Carolina coastal plain, this potential\nstill appears low. It is possible that it may not increase\nappreciably either, but trends are being closely monitored.\n\nDISCUSSION...The surface cyclone center appears to be slowly\napproaching coastal areas to the west\/west-northwest of Myrtle Beach\nSC. Forcing for ascent aided by strongest low-level convergence and\nwarm advection has been focused to its north, spreading inland\nnear\/south through southwest of Wilmington. This has been\ncontributing to the most vigorous thunderstorm development,\nsupported by inflow of tropically moist boundary-layer air within a\nnarrow offshore plume wrapping around the periphery of the cyclone.\n\nLow-level hodographs across coastal southern North Carolina remain\nsizable and clockwise curved, supporting at least a couple of\noccasionally intensifying supercell structures over the past hour or\ntwo. However, inland of immediate coastal areas, the convection and\nembedded mesocyclones probably have been based above at least a\nresidual shallow stable surface-based layer, based on surface\nobservations and Rapid Refresh forecast soundings.\n\nBeneath a subsident mid-level dry slot wrapping around the southern\nperiphery of the cyclone, model output suggests that low-level\nwarming within a small inland advecting wedge may contribute to\nmodest boundary-layer destabilization through mid to late afternoon,\nas the cyclone slowly begins to migrate inland. However, with\nstrongest flow around 850 mb forecast to shift into the Carolina\nPiedmont, model forecast soundings generally indicate that this may\ncoincide with shrinking and less clockwise curved low-level\nhodographs. Coupled with potentially increasing mid-level\ninhibition, the risk for convection capable of producing tornadoes\nremains uncertain.\n\n..Kerr\/Gleason.. 09\/16\/2024\n\n...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\nATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...\n\nLAT...LON 33957840 34277866 34587686 34207681 33397770 33657804\n 33957840 \n\n<\/pre>\nRead more<\/a><\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:35:06 +0000: SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Sep 16 18:36:02 UTC 2024<\/a> - SPC Forecast Products
No watches are valid as of Mon Sep 16 18:36:02 UTC 2024.<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:35:03 +0000: SPC MD 2072<\/a> - SPC Forecast Products
MD 2072 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION\n
<\/a>\n\nMesoscale Discussion 2072\nNWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n0134 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024\n\nAreas affected...the Four Corners Region\n\nConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely \n\nValid 161834Z - 162030Z\n\nProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percent\n\nSUMMARY...Some severe gusts and perhaps some severe hail are\npossible this afternoon near the Four Corners Region. A watch is not\nanticipated at this time, however trends will be monitored.\n\nDISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed near the Mogollon Rim over\nnortheastern Arizona this afternoon. These storms are on the\nsoutheastern periphery of an expansive upper-level closed low with a\nseasonably strong mid-level jet (40-50 kts of 500 mb flow). This\nresults in 30-40 kts of effective bulk shear across the region.\nAdditionally, strong heating has warmed temperatures into the mid\n70s to near 80 F, resulting in steep low-level lapse rates (8-9\nC\/km) and 1000+ J\/kg of DCAPE per mesoanalysis. The deep-layer shear\ninduced by the upper-level trough is expected to result in multicell\nclusters of storms with severe gusts being the primary threat.\nHowever given the steep lapse rates, straight hodographs, and low\nfreezing levels, some marginally severe hail may occur as well.\nGiven the expected sparse coverage of both of these, a watch is not\nanticipated. With time, expect clusters to move to the northeast.\nSome residual cloud cover over the San Juan Mountains is resulting\nin lingering stable air, so this may limit the longevity of these\nstorms.\n\n..Supinie\/Gleason.. 09\/16\/2024\n\n...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...\n\nATTN...WFO...ABQ...GJT...FGZ...SLC...\n\nLAT...LON 35171077 35791115 37151074 39171018 39540976 39810923\n 39770877 39590840 39060778 37830774 36580801 35890806\n 35260856 35030893 34720972 34831031 35171077 \n\n<\/pre>\nRead more<\/a><\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:34:05 +0000: SPC Sep 16, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook<\/a> - SPC Forecast Products
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook\n
<\/a>\nDay 2 Convective Outlook \nNWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n1230 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024\n\nValid 171200Z - 181200Z\n\n...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL\nHIGH PLAINS INTO NORTHEAST MONTANA...\n\n...SUMMARY...\nIsolated to scattered severe gusts and hail are possible Tuesday\nacross a large swath of the High Plains region, mainly from late\nafternoon into the evening. The greater concentrations of severe\nstorms may occur over the central High Plains into northeast\nMontana.\n\n...Synopsis...\n\nA mid\/upper cyclone is forecast over the Great Basin Tuesday\nmorning. This system will pivot northeast across the central Rockies\nand into the northern High Plains through the forecast period. This\nwill bring a belt of strong south\/southwesterly deep-layer flow\nacross CO\/WY and adjacent portions of the High Plains. A surface low\nwill deepen over MT through the period, with a surface trough\nextending southward through the central\/southern High Plains. A warm\nfront is forecast to extend west to east from southeast MT into\nnorth-central SD during the morning. With time, this boundary will\nlift northward toward the International border during the nighttime\nhours. As the system deepens and the low-level baroclinic zone over\nthe Plains strengthens, 850-700 mb flow is forecast to markedly\nincrease during the afternoon\/evening to 30-50 kt. While deeper\nboundary-layer moisture is forecast to remain east of the surface\ntrough axis and north of the warm front, steep midlevel lapse rates\nwill support pockets of weak to moderate instability. An arc of\nthunderstorm activity, with a mix of line segments and discrete\ncells, are expected to develop in the vicinity of the surface\nlow\/warm front south\/southeast along the surface trough during the\nafternoon and evening hours.\n\n...Eastern MT...\n\nStrong ascent will overspread the region as the upper trough pivots\nnortheast during the late afternoon\/evening. Boundary-layer moisture\nwill be greatest to the north of the warm front across\nnorth-central\/northeast MT, but capping will likely remain in place.\nStorm motion will likely result in convection remaining elevated to\nthe cool side of the warm front. Nevertheless, steep midlevel lapse\nrates and favorable vertical shear (elongated\/straight hodographs)\nwill support some risk for large hail. As stronger forcing and\nsufficient erosion of capping can overlap during the evening, strong\nto severe wind gusts also will be possible. \n\n...Northern\/Central High Plains Vicinity...\n\nConvection is expected to develop over the higher terrain of CO\/WY\nduring the afternoon. Given strengthening mid\/upper flow and weak\ninstability, some locally strong gusts could occur with this initial\nactivity near the core of the upper low over western\/central CO. As\nconvection shifts east\/northeast through the afternoon and into the\nevening, strong heating is expected to result in a steep low-level\nlapse rate environment across the High Plains. While deep\nboundary-layer moisture will remain further east across the Plains,\nsteep midlevel lapse rates and surface dewpoints in the 50s F will\nresult in a corridor of around 1000-1500 J\/kg MLCAPE from far\neastern CO into parts of western NE\/SD. Strengthening midlevel flow\natop a deeply mixed boundary-layer will likely support severe gusts\n(isolated gusts to 75 mph possible) with linear segments spreading\nnortheast across the central High Plains during the late\nafternoon\/evening. \n\n...Southern High Plains Vicinity...\n\nFurther south, large-scale ascent will be weaker, with stronger\nheight falls focused north of the region. Nevertheless, low-level\nconvergence along the surface trough and modest instability (up to\n1000 J\/kg MLCAPE) will support initial thunderstorm development over\nthe higher terrain of south-central CO into north-central NM.\nForecast soundings show supercell wind profiles across the adjacent\nHigh Plains by afternoon. Midlevel lapse rates will be somewhat\nmodest (around 6.5-7 C\/km), but elongated\/straight hodographs and\nplenty of instability through the 700-300 mb layer suggest isolated\nhail is possible. Steep low-level lapse rates also will support\nisolated strong to severe gusts.\n\n..Leitman.. 09\/16\/2024\n\n<\/pre>\nRead more<\/a><\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 16:39:30 +0000: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook<\/a> - SPC Forecast Products
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook\n
<\/a>\nDay 1 Fire Weather Outlook \nNWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK\n1138 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024\n\nValid 161700Z - 171200Z\n\n...17z Update...\nThe prior forecast remains largely on track with only minor changes.\nThe Elevated area over parts of NV was expanded northward where\ngusty winds and pockets of low humidity are expected to be slightly\nmore prevalent. \n\nOver the central High Plains, recent rainfall and additional storms\nare likely to temper fuels somewhat. However, strong southerly winds\n(gusts as high as 30 mph) may still overlap with areas of drier\nfuels and humidity below 30%. While uncertain in areal extent, some\nfire-weather risk will continue this afternoon and evening.\nOtherwise, see the prior discussion for more information.\n\n..Lyons.. 09\/16\/2024\n\n.PREV DISCUSSION... \/ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024\/\n\n...Synopsis...\nWithin the base of a deep midlevel cyclone moving eastward across\nthe Great Basin, a related jet streak will overspread the Lower CO\nRiver Valley. Here, boundary-layer mixing into the strengthening\nflow aloft, coupled with a tightening pressure gradient peripheral\nto an evolving surface cyclone, will favor 20-25 mph sustained\nsoutherly surface winds. Despite a gradual increase in moisture\/RH,\ndiurnal heating should still support a corridor of around 20 percent\nRH amid the strong surface winds along the Lower CO River Valley --\nfavoring elevated fire-weather conditions.\n\nElevated fire-weather conditions are also expected over portions of\nthe central High Plains -- where breezy\/gusty southerly surface\nwinds will overlap 20 percent RH near a lee trough during the\nafternoon. While spotty rainfall during the past 24 hours could\nlimit fuel receptiveness over parts of the area, mostly receptive\nfuels should still yield some fire-weather risk.\n\nFarther east, warm\/dry conditions are expected over portions of OH\nand KY -- along the southwestern periphery of an expansive surface\nanticyclone. While sustained surface winds around 10 mph should\nlimit the overall fire-weather threat, around 20 percent RH and very\ndry\/receptive fuels will still pose localized fire-weather concerns\nduring the afternoon.\n\n...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov\/fire for graphic product...\n\n<\/pre>\nRead more<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/p>\n[tab:Hurricanes]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:47:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Outlook<\/a> - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
\n<\/a>\n
\n<\/a>\n
\n
\nZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eight, near the coast of the Carolinas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast\/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN
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<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:29:27 +0000: NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook<\/a> - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
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\n<\/a>\n
\n
\nZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 16 2024
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
NNNN
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<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 17:17:06 +0000: CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook<\/a> - National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
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\n<\/a>\n
\n
\nZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Mon Sep 16 2024
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster JVC\/Tsamous
NNNN
<\/div><\/div>
<\/li><\/ul><\/p>\n[tab:Tsunamis]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 01:50:59 +0000: 125 miles SE of Sandspit, Haida Gwaii<\/a> - Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
\n Category:<\/strong> Information
Bulletin Issue Time: <\/strong> 2024.09.16 01:50:59 UTC
Preliminary Magnitude: <\/strong>5.0(Ml)
Lat\/Lon: <\/strong>51.546 \/ -130.824
Affected Region: <\/strong>125 miles SE of Sandspit, Haida Gwaii
Note:<\/b> * There is NO tsunami danger from this earthquake.
Definition: <\/strong>An information statement indicates that an earthquake has occurred, but does not pose a tsunami threat, or that a tsunami warning, advisory, or watch has been issued for another section of the ocean. View bulletin<\/a> <\/li><\/ul><\/p>\n[tab:Earthquakes] <\/p>\n
[tab:Volcanoes] <\/p>\n
[tab:Weather] <\/p>\n
[tab:CDC] <\/p>\n
[tab:NASA]
- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:02:21 +0000: Engineer Zaida Hernandez<\/a> - NASA
\u201cI would say family and part of that \u2018first-gen experience\u2019 [shaped me]. Being born in the U.S. gave me a lot of opportunities that my family and parents were robbed of because of situations in their home country.\u00a0It shaped me to be a hard worker and to aspire to large things because not only\u00a0was it [\u2026]<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 19:01:23 +0000: Reaching New Heights to Unravel Deep Martian History!<\/a> - NASA
The Perseverance rover is reaching new heights as it ascends the rim of Jezero crater (over 300 meters in elevation higher than the original landing site)! The rover is now enroute to its first campaign science stop Dox Castle (image in the far ground) a region of interest for its potential to host ancient Mars\u2019 [\u2026]<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:52:40 +0000: Station Science Top News: September 13, 2024<\/a> - NASA
JAXA (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency)\u00a0researchers examined the structures of four titanium-based compounds solidified in levitators in microgravity and on the ground and\u00a0found\u00a0that the internal microstructures were generally similar. These results could support development of new materials for use in space manufacturing. To produce glass or metal alloys on Earth, raw materials are placed into a [\u2026]<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:36:35 +0000: Ottawa\u2019s Fall Rhapsody<\/a> - NASA
An astronaut aboard the International Space Station captured this view of peak fall foliage around Ottawa, Canada on Oct. 14, 2020. Sugar maple leaves turn orange-red,\u00a0and hickories turn golden-bronze during autumn, regionally known as \u201cthe Fall Rhapsody.\u201d Fall color reaches its peak when air temperatures drop and shortened daylight triggers plants to slow and stop [\u2026]<\/li>- Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:05:39 +0000: Going Back-to-School with NASA Data<\/a> - NASA
As students head back to school, teachers have a new tool that brings NASA satellite data down to their earthly classrooms. For over 50 years of observing Earth, NASA\u2019s satellites have collected petabytes of global science data (that\u2019s millions and millions of gigabytes)\u00a0\u2013 with terabytes more coming in by the day. Since 2004, the My [\u2026]<\/li><\/ul><\/p>\n[tab:END] The remaining page content goes here and will appear BELOW the tabbed content container.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
[tab: Storms] [tab:Hurricanes] [tab:Tsunamis] [tab:Earthquakes] [tab:Volcanoes] [tab:Weather] [tab:CDC] [tab:NASA] [tab:END] The remaining page content goes here and will appear BELOW the tabbed content container.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":41,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-349","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/349"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=349"}],"version-history":[{"count":34,"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/349\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":664,"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/349\/revisions\/664"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/41"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/livesafeinternational.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}